Comment
  1. Rajendran Durairaj says:

    October 4, 2011 at 2:18 am

    very interesting write-up. Thanks. Most of these changes are coming and will make life easier. As you rightly said, people will be reluctant to trust technology with their security and money. We still have people using cash and not trusting bank cards.Death of book stores like “Borders” – that supplemented libraries – is an irony. B&N will be next.

  2. Prasanna S says:

    October 6, 2011 at 6:30 am

    This seem to be the way to go!
    We have to get the mobiles secure and as efficient as possible, not run of charge, easy to get an replacement for if lost ….
    and then this might be possible. Enabling the infrastructure first is essential!

  3. Anand S says:

    October 6, 2011 at 11:48 am

    While we normally get very excited with technology, i do not think that it is the real driver. I think ‘need’ is the driver
    especially with the ‘emerging markets’. To explain, developed countries seem to take the route of ‘hey there is this really
    cool technology available / (most often) which i want to use to create a new revenue stream’ and then develop solutions
    or create a market for that.

    In emerging markets, its the opposite. There is an acute need for something (eg. unpaid electricity bills crippling companies)
    and then technology (affordable) which is used to solve the problem.

    I feel that taking the second approach is what will see immediate returns (specially in these days).

    3 things that stuck me when i read your blog

    a) Somehow, the relevance of B&N and Amazon to the whole article – i could not connect the dots

    b) The NFC : Not sure if we really want newer handsets with this function. Maybe something simpler.
    eg. mPesa in the african markets. Today most of the people are able to “pay” small amounts or transfer small amounts
    using any (old) existing handset via a simple SMS. To me, this instantly creates a huge market as seen in africa

    c) I came across ‘prepaid electricity meters’ being implemented in some african countries. Nothing fancy (like automated
    wireless meters whose reading can be read wirelessly / using a sim card etc). These meters are cheap but with only one
    change. Input a code and it will enable usage for a prepaid / preset amount. Once exhausted, you need to get a recharge
    coupon (can be obtained using mPESA!!) and then key in the new code…

    We are in “exciting” times and i am truly “loving it”….just that we should now enter the stage of using (available) technology
    in innovative and simple ways to solve existential problems..

    Just some thoughts …

  4. Anil Agarwal says:

    October 6, 2011 at 6:45 pm

    Fully agree with your views and looking forward to NFT taking off in India. PM’s financial inclusion task force is exploring how to extend banking (and financial) facilities to millions of unbanked Indians where at 70% cell-phone penetration it can extend the reach enormously. Obviously other enablers like banking correspondents, UID will play a greater role initially.

  5. Jas Sivakumar J says:

    October 6, 2011 at 8:24 pm

    Hi Anand,

    First of all, thanks a lot for the detailed feedback. Your comments are more informative as well.

    I agree that the connectivity between Borders crash and NFC is not coming out well in my blog. The point I was making was, if there is a technology/business model change, even established players might run out of business, if they do not foresee and take appropriate steps. NFC might be one such, where the plastic credit/debit cards might vanish in due course (if the adoption picks up) and the companies that manufacture these credit cards with magnetic strip/smart card chips etc, will have a major impact. Basically, not only the banks but the companies which are into manufacturing plastic cards will also have an impact. That was the point I was driving at by taking examples of Borders, B&N, alarm clock manufacturers etc.
    Your points (b) and (c) are very informative.
    The advantage with NFC is that, it is being built in each of the smart phones and so the cost is bundled into the phone cost itself. For RFID adoption, the major impediment was about the RFID active/passive tags cost, rather than the reader cost. Whereas the tag cost problem does not exist here since it is bundled into the smartphone itself.
    Thanks for your inputs,
    Jas.

  6. Jas Sivakumar J says:

    October 6, 2011 at 8:27 pm

    Thanks, Anil. Yes, Micro Finance might be another possibility.

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